July 29, 2025
July 29, 2025
Have you also felt the market's rhythm becoming tense again in recent days?
From the sharp rally in early July to the current volatility and fluctuations, the market is entering a typical “high-sensitivity window period”—and the driving force behind this is the upcoming nonfarm payrolls data week.
This volatility is not random but a concentrated response to multiple overlapping signals:
First, the ADP “small nonfarm” data on Wednesday and the NFP nonfarm data on Friday will directly impact the Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations. Investors remain cautiously optimistic ahead of the data releases.
Second, the preliminary July Markit Manufacturing PMI, released at 9:45 AM on July 22, came in below expectations, signaling a weakening in manufacturing momentum and reigniting market concerns about the sustainability of the recovery.
We are at a critical juncture marked by dense information flow and delicate market dynamics. While sentiment has not spiraled out of control, the underlying “direction choice” is already unfolding beneath the volatility.
Friends, history has repeatedly proven that market trends are often unpredictable and never develop in a predetermined manner.
Investors who can truly navigate cycles and remain steadfast do not rely on luck, but rather have already formed their own judgments and strategically positioned themselves before the trend becomes clear.
In today's session, we will not engage in “post-hoc analysis,” but rather focus on anticipating trends:
In this critical phase of intensive data release, fluctuating emotions, and quietly changing structures—
What signals are emerging?
Which assets still hold value?
Which directions may have already reached a turning point in the shadows?
This will determine whether we can truly keep pace with the main trend in the second half of the year and stay ahead of the curve.
From now on, we will accompany you on a new journey of cognitive leap using systematic thinking and forward-looking vision.
As August approaches, we are standing at a critical juncture for the market.
According to CoreX historical data, since December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve has maintained the federal funds rate within the 4.25%–4.50% range and has remained unchanged since then.
Inflation data has also been aligning accordingly. July core PCE data showed moderate price growth, with overall inflationary pressures moving closer to the Federal Reserve's target range.
On the surface, this undoubtedly provides support for market sentiment. However, please note: what truly determines the direction of the market going forward is not inflation itself, but the performance of the labor market—particularly the upcoming nonfarm payrolls data and unemployment rate.
Why are these two data points so critical?
Because expectations of interest rate cuts are positive for the stock market, provided there are no obvious signs of economic recession.
If the nonfarm payroll data is strong, it indicates that the economy has resilience—even if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25 basis points, the market may continue to rebound, interpreted as a “growth plus easing” double positive.
However, if the data is weak, especially if employment is far below expectations, it could trigger market panic: concerns about a weakening economy may lead to even aggressive rate cuts being perceived as a “bailout signal” rather than a positive development, thereby causing greater volatility.
Therefore, August is not only a seasonal transition but also a critical turning point for market sentiment.
From historical experience, such a “critical window period” actually requires us to respond calmly: controlling positions, adjusting the pace reasonably, avoiding chasing highs, and not betting on direction are the most prudent operational approaches.
Over the next few days, I will guide you through these key data points, combining technical analysis and sector structure to develop more forward-looking strategies.
Please stay tuned as we navigate this period of market transition filled with uncertainties.
Prior to August, the market's focus was primarily on policy expectations such as “when will interest rates be cut?” However, the focus has quietly shifted—people are now concerned about whether the US economy will fall into recession.
Why is this shift so important? Because it directly affects how capital views and judges the stock market.
Once economic data releases weak signals or there are signs that economic growth may slow down, the market often quickly amplifies panic sentiment, leading to selling pressure. This shift in sentiment is most directly reflected in the rise of the VIX fear index:
The greater the increase in the VIX, the more tense and fearful the market becomes;
Once fear is concentrated and released, it can easily trigger a rapid decline in the stock market.
Looking back at the market decline before the opening on Tuesday, have you understood the true essence of the situation?
Of course, during yesterday morning's class, I emphasized the investment strategy I discussed with everyone, right?
The CoreX 40/60 investment portfolio. This is a specific asset allocation strategy I designed for the era of interest rate cuts. It is not about chasing trends or gambling on opportunities, but rather built around the core principles of “long-term stability + flexible adaptation.”
Why is it called the “winning strategy”?
Because it has the following key advantages:
A clear risk management mechanism that helps you maintain clear judgment even in volatile markets;
A combination of long-term and short-term strategies, enabling both steady positioning and flexible responses to short-term market sentiment;
Carefully selected high-quality stocks with the ability to withstand economic cycles and mitigate downside risks;
Coverage of emerging asset classes such as digital currencies to capture long-term growth opportunities;
Most importantly, the CoreX system serves as a strategic support and execution guarantee, ensuring the portfolio always has a clear framework and guidelines to follow.
60% allocated to stocks, options, and digital currency spot markets, and 40% allocated to bond ETFs. This portfolio is based on a long-term strategy that has been validated through multiple rounds of practical testing and supported by historical data. Its core advantages are reflected in the following aspects:
1. Stability + Growth Potential
The stock and digital currency components are responsible for asset growth and appreciation, while the bond ETF acts as a “stabilizer,” providing cushioning and protection during market fluctuations.
2. Historically proven effectiveness
Based on years of backtesting and real-market observations through the CoreX system, this 40/60 allocation has consistently achieved a favorable risk-return ratio in most years. Especially in the face of market uncertainty, it demonstrates stronger resilience.
3. Balancing risk and return
The 60% active offensive allocation gives the portfolio upward flexibility to navigate bull and bear markets, while the 40% bond ETF portion provides stable cash flow and risk mitigation support
4. Simple and easy to execute
The portfolio structure is clear and logical, requiring no complex operations or specialized knowledge, making it suitable for learners of all levels to adopt flexibly
If we compare the 2-hour candlestick charts of the Nasdaq Index (.IXIC) and Bitcoin (BTC) today, we observe an intriguing phenomenon:
Under the same market panic conditions, Bitcoin's decline is significantly less pronounced than that of U.S. stocks. What does this indicate?
This suggests that Bitcoin market holders demonstrate greater “confidence” and “resilience” amid emotional fluctuations. In other words, investors remain firmly committed to Bitcoin's future. Additionally, the chart structure shows that Bitcoin is forming a clear support and rebound pattern. Once the market stabilizes and capital flows return, BTC is likely to become one of the key channels attracting off-market funds. When the stock market corrects, some risk-averse capital may flow into more growth-oriented cryptocurrencies.
This is one of the reasons why I recommend allocating a certain proportion of BTC spot holdings in the CoreX 40/60 investment portfolio:
It is not a tool for short-term speculation but an important component of future asset allocation;
It possesses the ability to navigate market cycles and may provide unexpected stability under pressure from traditional markets; Holding BTC is an important step in preparing for the “new financial landscape.” Friends, if you are still on the fence, I suggest you review today's charts and consider: has your asset allocation already reserved a “growth window” for the future?
Friends, today we are officially upgrading our Bitcoin holding strategy from the previous indirect participation through projects like SOL to a new phase of directly holding BTC spot. This step is not a whim but a significant turning point in our long-term strategy.
Why make this adjustment? The reason is actually quite simple; let’s break it down into three points:
First, only by directly holding BTC can you fully benefit from its price appreciation.
BTC is the core asset in our CoreX 40/60 long-term portfolio plan. Once the Federal Reserve initiates interest rate cuts, Bitcoin, as “digital gold,” will be more favored by the market. By positioning yourself early now, you are securing a spot in the future value sweet spot. Opportunities only come to those who are prepared in advance—will you miss out?
Second, buying SOL in the past was a “roundabout way” to participate.
SOL is backed by large institutions like BlackRock managing BTC ETFs. In simple terms, you entrust your funds to them, and they allocate Bitcoin on your behalf. Since you already have a cryptocurrency account, why not simply allocate BTC spot directly? This approach is more proactive, offers greater operational flexibility, and yields more direct profits.
INJ is one of the few “full-chain” DeFi protocols currently available, supporting not only contracts, spot trading, and perpetual products, but also cross-chain transactions. Some say it is the “engine” of the next generation of DeFi, and this is no exaggeration.
More importantly, INJ has a deflationary mechanism, with revenue derived from real transaction fees, backed by a long-term growth logic. In other words, it doesn't rely on hyping concepts but on actual users and trading volume to drive value appreciation. Such assets are worth including in our investment portfolio for the long term.
Therefore, transitioning from “value storage” to “trading infrastructure,” we hold BTC as a core position while strategically allocating INJ for growth. This combination is more stable yet also more aggressive.
If you're unsure about how to allocate your portfolio, don't worry—my investment education advisor will guide you step by step, providing clear instructions on how to allocate proportions and manage operations.
Over the next three to six months, the market may see a new round of trends, and whether you can truly capitalize on them depends on the choices you make right now.
Friends, the essence of investing is not to pursue short-term profits, but to maintain a long-term winning rhythm amid market fluctuations. And we all know that the market is always right.
That is why every operation and configuration must be based on a respect for risk and a respect for trends. This is precisely the starting point for my design of the CoreX 40/60 investment portfolio plan.
By seizing opportunities while maintaining a bottom line, and advancing steadily, we can truly navigate cycles and go further.
The upcoming quarter (Q3) is particularly critical for us.
Based on the latest developments, the United States and the European Union have announced a new trade agreement:
The United States will reduce tariffs on certain EU goods from 25% to 15%, while the EU has committed to investing up to $600 billion in the United States over the next few years, spanning sectors such as energy and defense.
Meanwhile, the market is awaiting the release of three major signals this week:
The Federal Reserve meeting and policy guidance on Wednesday
The July nonfarm payrolls report (NFP) on Friday
And the release of Q2 GDP and core inflation data
In such a news-packed and opinion-divided environment, market volatility tends to be intense. And each time, those who truly seize opportunities do so not by predicting outcomes, but by having already established an investment structure and operational rhythm tailored to their own needs.
So, I invite you to reflect on this question:
At past critical junctures, have you ever watched opportunities unfold before your eyes only to miss your own turning point due to a lack of planning or hesitation?
Now, a new wave of opportunities is emerging. This time, I invite you to join me on this journey through the CoreX Investment Portfolio Plan, mastering the rhythm, optimizing your allocation, and embarking on a truly stable and sustainable investment path.
If you are still hesitating, why not start today?
Join the NextLeap investment education community to gain a deeper understanding of the CoreX 40/60 allocation model and use a mature, rational strategy to prepare for the arrival of the “new era of interest rate cuts.”
Today is Tuesday, and we've only just begun.
In tomorrow's session, I'll delve into core data analysis and offensive strategy planning. Don't let “understanding trends” turn into “regret after the fact.” Remember to tune in on time. See you tomorrow!
Good afternoon, my friends, my name is Bird Grant from NextLeap Management Consulting Ltd. Nicknamed Mr. Profit Hawk, welcome to today's live class.
Before I begin, allow me to share an old story from Massachusetts.
It happened after Black Monday in 1987. A legendary hedge fund manager in Boston was coming off from one of the worst days in history, when the Dow Jones fell 22% in a single day. The whole office was in chaos, some people liquidated overnight, others had emotional breakdowns.
And this old gentleman, he didn't do anything that day. He got up at 5:00 a.m. as usual, went for a 5-kilometer run along the Charles River, then went back to the office for a cup of hand-brewed coffee, sat at his desk, turned over his entire portfolio, and adjusted only two positions.
Someone asked him later, “You didn't panic at all that day?” He said, “Of course I panicked, but I knew I didn't live by predicting the market, I lived by the structure of the portfolio - being down wasn't the problem, being unprepared was.”
He said something I'll always remember: “The market can smash your emotions with one day, but only you can smash your system.”
That, my friends, is the starting point for the conversation I want to have with you today.
We experienced a similar pressured opening today - the Dow saw accelerated downward pressure in the midday session, risk appetite contracted quickly, small cap tech was under significant pressure, and the system flagged broad pullback with leadership weakness. but please look back at our own portfolio: $WULF But look back at our own portfolio: $WULF is holding up, $TMF is holding the line, and position control is still in order. You have to remember that trading is not about betting, it's about structuring to get through the market and survive the quick changes.
This lesson, we do not talk about the exciting ups and downs, and do not get into a panic, we have to seriously review - the real effective configuration, not so that you earn the most, but in the market out of control can also hold up. A truly reliable system is not one that allows you to never make a mistake, but one that reminds you to stop before you make a mistake.
The market is indeed picking up wind, but we're not driving a sailboat, we're driving a fully structured, weight-tested carrier system. You didn't fall off the wagon, welcome back to the cockpit.
System judgment: buyers stepped back, not broken, still fluctuating within the original structure.
What the market is really asking in this type of retracement is a core question: “Have you built a good conviction about the asset you are holding?”
Within our community, we’ve seen a number of members scale up to a 15% position near $7.60 — staying aligned with the system and ready for follow-through. Not because of emotional optimism, but because his entry thesis has not changed, the system structure is not broken, the behavioral logic is still there:
Why buy in the first place? (Structure + Expectations)
Does it still make sense to hold now? (Logic not broken)
What do you want to realize from it in the next phase? （What do you want to achieve from it next?)
We never try to step on the so-called “nadir”. We only do one thing: make decisions based on behavior while the structure is still in place.
What ultimately separates us is not whether you can avoid every round of pullback, but whether you can: not lose focus in volatility, dare to hold positions when judgment is clear, and hold on to key positions without being forced out by emotion.
It's not the emotion that carries you, it's you that carries exposure until it gives reason to change the logic.
Our largest position, $WULF, is up against the trend today, and that's not luck, that's portfolio structure at work. The purpose of our allocation has never been to bet on one particular ticket, but to build a system that works reasonably well in any market state.
When the market is good, it helps us amplify the trend; when the market is turbulent, it helps us control quick changes, reduce attrition, and continue confidence.
So today's lesson to convey a key point: the superiority of the portfolio is not reflected in the most money, but in the market mood confusion, the direction is not clear, you can still stand firm. That's why we've always insisted on systematic investing.
We will not question the system because of one or two retracing stocks, the system will not expand positions hastily because of a momentary rebound unless the signal is clear and the structure is confirmed, we are concerned about - long term structure + real behavior + tolerance for error. $WULF guarded today's portfolio confidence, but also let us have more confidence to continue to move forward.
Did you remember this portfolio performance today? It's not the end, it's another demonstration of the system's win rate on the ground.
The core positions we currently hold include:
$NVTS and $WULF: This is the tech-trending duo of our mid-tier allocation, with one focusing on the hardware layout of next-generation power systems, and the other involved in the competition for resources and market pricing in the bitcoin computing power layer;
$MARA and $MSTR: These are our US stock mapped positions in the cryptocurrency sector, which are offensive allocations with the goal of amplifying portfolio resilience during the liquidity rebound phase;
$SGMT: This is our layout top-up of a position we just established in early trading today, with top-ups in AI hardware and domestic substitution logic;
$SOL: this is the core position of our chain assets part, has formed a stable float, is one of the most future imaginative positions in the structure;
$TLT / $TMF are low-correlation assets in our portfolios that are used to provide a hedge when risk appetite contracts and demand for risk aversion rises. They are key components in our efforts to maintain portfolio stability in the face of uncertain market structure.
Early today, we completed definitive buy actions on $MSTR and $SGMT, corresponding to expectations of bitcoin resilience in the face of a sentiment inflection point and a medium-term extension of the AI thread, respectively. We will continue to fine-tune the portfolio dynamically based on feedback from the CoreX quantitative trading system.
The current portfolio has a balanced structure of offense and defense, all operations are based on system signals and position management logic, and we are executing a complete set of strategy solutions that can withstand the test of time.
The so-called “proxy stocks” (proxy stocks), the meaning is very simple - they are not cryptocurrencies themselves, but the price trend is highly linked to the crypto market, which can amplify the marginal fluctuations of the market, while at the same time can be directly traded in a traditional securities account. This is a very practical investment tool for most investors.
$MARA (Marathon Digital) is one of the world's largest bitcoin mining companies, with a revenue model that is fully tied to the performance of bitcoin mining and positions. In other words, when BTC goes up, its profit model “quadruples” the curve. You can think of it as “options among miners”.
$MSTR (MicroStrategy) is the most typical representative of an enterprise-level Bitcoin position, with over 200,000 coins, the largest “Bitcoin Vault” in an enterprise account. It essentially no longer makes money from its software business and exists solely as a “crypto-asset mapper,” an institutional version of a Bitcoin ETF.
$WULF (Terawulf) is smaller than $MARA, but it is a pure “green computing power mining company”, representing the future direction of crypto infrastructure to clean energy. It eats both market and policy, and is at the intersection of long-term structure and cyclical rhythm.
So friends, you now understand it? We are not allocating to “concept stocks”, but to structural proxy assets. These are the “highly resilient linkage components” of the portfolio that allow you to participate in Bitcoin and crypto trends in a traditional market account, but don't require you to manipulate the assets on the chain directly.
In a nutshell: these are the bridge assets we use to “track the crypto market and strengthen the offensive side of the portfolio”. That's why we pick them and how we use them. With that out of the way, let's move on to portfolio strategy.
We are ready to add a brand new crypto asset class component to our current portfolio. Unlike $BTC, it's not something to chase after after it's already gone up tenfold; instead, it's still at the bottom of its structure and has yet to complete its valuation reshaping. What does this mean? It means that its upside is far from being fully priced in by the market.
In the morning, Blake Shaw has clearly analyzed its core structure as an “all-chain DeFi protocol”. I'd like to expand on that and answer two questions from an investment behavior perspective:
Why is this crypto worth looking into? And more importantly - why is it worth actually taking a position now?
So why did I explicitly make a buy recommendation today? The logic is threefold, all based on system judgment and on-chain behavior:
Structural stability: deflationary mechanism in place, value driven by fees
INJ's repurchase and destruction are triggered by real-transaction fees, and the system recognizes that its supply model has a clear path to convergence, which is the first screening criterion we use to assess the long-term pricing power of on-chain assets.
Over the past three weeks, the number of active addresses on the chain has continued to increase, and the frequency of interactions has amplified in tandem. The system reads this as a classic “price hasn't moved yet, but capital's positioning” - one of the most important signals we look for in trading. This is one of the most important signals we look for in trading: capital's action before the chart has moved.
Clear positioning: mid-term growth engine in the portfolio
We define this as a “mid-term growth engine” in the CoreX portfolio, not a day-trade, It's not speculative, either.. Especially during the window of interest rate inflection point and risk appetite recovery, this kind of real supply and demand structure is stable, active trading behavior of the token, easy to become the first choice of capital flow back.
The bottom line is that this is an early stage of our proactive search for the “next real opportunity”. Why choose it?
First, it's not an air coin that speculates on emotions, but an asset with a clear main line, real application scenarios, and data support on the chain;
Second, the market hasn't started to give it a premium yet, the structure is there, and the pricing hasn't been stretched too much yet, unlike $BTC and $ETH, which have already entered a high volatility zone;
Third, it has the triple resonance characteristics that we value the most -- structurally sound, active capital behavior, and highly correlated with the mainstream trend but not yet exploded.
We are in the process of finalizing the confirmation and range planning, and later this week I will formally announce the name and reference range of this underlying as the “next engine” in the offensive end of our portfolio.
Imagine if $MARA was our amplifier in the last phase, this new asset could be the real “efficiency booster” in the next phase. Stay tuned, I'll walk you through the logic behind it and make sure this move is an execution worthy of portfolio-wide confidence.
We are not chasing hot spots, we are choosing the direction, onfiguration of power, layout of the future.This is not a short term trade captured on the fly.This is a portfolio re-optimization based on systematic judgment, structural assessment and forward perspective.
Instead of simply adding a position, we are strengthening the offensive capability of the entire portfolio - making the capital allocation more directional, more penetrative, and more able to participate in the next effective trend.
Behind every allocation is a strategic positioning; Every positioning is a belief manifested at the execution level.
Truly sophisticated investing is not about chasing the market, but getting stuck ahead of time at the starting point where the trend is going to form.
This time, we still choose to stand where we should stand. The system is ready, are you ready?