July 20, 2025
July 20, 2025
Let me share a story from the old days. It was 1997, and I was working as a bond trader on a trading floor in the financial district of San Francisco. There was an old-timer upstairs who had been in equities for almost 20 years, and whenever young people asked him, “How many orders do you place a week?” he never said, "It depends.
Whenever a young person asks him, “How many orders do you place a week?” he never says, “Depends on the market.” He just looks up and blandly replies, "No more than three trades.
He is not lazy or timid. He only makes trades that are structured, have clear signals, and have meaningful behavior.
The rest of the time, he arrives at 8:00 a.m. every day and keeps an eye on the market - but more often than not, he's waiting for the price to move into his framework with a black coffee.
You see, this week we did the same thing - not by frequency, but by confirmation; not by impulse, but by system.
We didn't take many shots, but each one was crisp, logical, and consequential.
Three trades, three structural confirmations.
Not by guessing whether the market will move or not, but by stepping in without hesitation the moment the confirmation appears; not by jumping in early, or by following passively at a slower pace.
$ANPA Two Stage Trade, Two Structure Execution Rhythms
The first trade occurred during Tuesday's session. We observed an active pending order in the market while price broke out of the early consolidation range. Structural confirmation and behavioral signals coincided and I quickly opened a position at that point with the goal of capturing the first price advance after the structure was completed. This trade was cashed out intraday for a +60% profit.
The second trade occurred on Wednesday. I opened another position when price dipped below the support zone and successive buyers intervened. This was a re-entry trade based on a structural restart with clear signals and precise execution rhythm. The following day, the price advanced to the preset target area and completed the exit with a profit of +41%.
I chose to take a position in a key area when buying continued to strengthen and price stabilized building the pattern. The whole process of taking the position was in line with the structure and there was no deviation or out-of-control behavior. At the end of the following day, the price reached the planned target level and exited smoothly with a profit of +9%.
One simple rule:
When it’s time to move—move. When it’s not—don’t guess, don’t force.
This week's gains were not brought about by luck, nor by blindly following through on price rushes higher, or emotionally getting out of the market during declines. We executed only three trades.
Each operation was initiated only after the structure had stabilized, the signals were clear, and the market's behavior had completed its confirmation. We were not guessing the direction, but executing decisively on a pre-determined strategy the moment we saw that the key variables had fallen into place.
Although all three trades were on the fast side of the pace and required high sensitivity in reaction, they still followed a standardized execution system behind them:
First identify the structure, then wait for the signal, and finally follow the behavior to complete the position.
Missing a trade won't hurt your money flow. It's jumping in before a market correction that will cause losses.
We will only buy when three things happen at the same time:
Price behavior enters a controlled rhythm, the trading structure shows active direction, and the signal system lights up with a confirmation cue.
When all of this is accomplished, we enter the market quickly, not waiting for market sentiment to heat up or for other funds to “give us confidence”.
By the time most people are wondering if it's a good idea to try it, we've already built the position and started to manage the path of the position.
This is the real meaning of the execution system:
It is not used to determine whether the market is likely to rise, but to help us identify - when we can participate, and only at the point of action. This is the core competency of high winning trades.
Many friends see this week's account obviously up, message that “finally back up” “this week than the past month faster”. But I want to remind you - you can not only look at the results, but also look back
This week almost no mistakes, the key is not how much we did, this week almost no mistakes, the key does not lie in the frequency, but each of our shots are built on the basis of behavioral signals have been completed, the price structure has been in place. We didn't chase the highs, we didn't bet on how long the trend would continue, but rather we executed with the trend at the moment when the structure was falling back and the buyers were starting to re-enter the market. This rhythm of striking is not based on feelings, but from price behavior and confirmation of the transaction status.
We remain calm throughout the process. With an operation like $ANPA, we know exactly where to hold and where to let go. Tuesday was just the day's momentum release, and we re-entered the market on Wednesday after price regained its direction and buying started to advance consistently. That was a whole new set of trades, with no overlap with the first leg. Two operations, each with its own entry logic, target range and exit judgment, we don't mix positions, we don't reuse plans, and we don't leave money exposed to ambiguity. Account operation is to be so clear, each know why to enter, when to go, how much risk to take.
The market did not suddenly become better, is that you begin to understand what is the real logic of trading. Once you move from asking “can this stock go up” to judging “is this action complete”, you are really entering the state of a mature trader.
The reason we had such a good week was not because the market was particularly friendly, but because we locked in the key variables before the market really got going and executed the plan without hesitation the moment the signal appeared.
Going into next week, things won't be easy and the window won't wait.
Opportunities never present themselves voluntarily and are only reserved for those who recognize and act in advance.
If we want to continue this week's execution advantage, we must maintain a system-driven logic of judgment, focus on the core variables ahead of time, and be ready to move forward at a moment's notice.
The market won’t adjust its pace for you.The only real control you have—is how prepared you are, and how well you execute.
The market may not give a clear directional signal directly next week, there are three key factors that are building momentum and are posing a substantial impact on market direction.
Whoever recognizes them first will be able to prepare for the next step in advance while most are still on the sidelines.
We are now keeping a close eye on these three things:
①|Funding Rotation Path within the AI Sector
Dominant funding is pulling back from headline AI assets and redeploying to mid-cap tier mid-tier hardware companies.
Funding is shifting to segments with component manufacturing capabilities, performance optimization value and verifiable order growth - including thermal solutions, interconnect modules and custom arithmetic platforms.
The real advantage comes from being able to lay out your structure before it starts, rather than waiting until it “looks safe” to follow.
②|Language deflection signals in Fed speeches
An intensive period of Fed speeches will begin next week. Between now and the end of the month, at least five to six Fed members will speak publicly.
Rather than passively listening to them repeat verbal formulas such as “maintain policy”, we need to recognize who first releases the language signal of path shift.
Even a slight shift in language, such as a reference to “increased downside risks” or “the need to reassess the data”, could be the starting point for a market repricing.
We need to have position structures in place before the market responds.
Bitcoin is still ostensibly range-bound, but there has been a directional change in the behavior of money on the chain.
We are currently monitoring the following three key dimensions that are amplifying in tandem:
Stablecoin liquidity is accelerating → suggesting that more money is being re-injected into the on-chain ecosystem;
Rising density of pending orders in the options market → suggesting that traders are beginning to proactively build volatility defenses and exposures;
and Significantly higher activity in leveraged positions → risk appetite is heating up in the short-term, and the behavioral signals have been initiated.
This is not just a technical pause. This is not a sideways drift between trades. What we are seeing is structural capital rebuilding exposure - redirecting and leveraging.
Behavioral changes in the chain have begun to be reflected in the fringe assets of the equity markets. The following categories of U.S. equity targets have seen capital movements recently:
$RIOT (Riot Platforms): extremely high degree of follow-through, with the advantage of a symmetrical structure for trading;
$COIN (Coinbase): chain activity and pending order behavior is directly reflected in spot trading and derivatives turnover;
$HUT, $CLSK, $BITF and other mid-cap miners have also begun to show low take-up signals;
Spot bitcoin ETFs such as $IBIT and $FBTC are in the process of building their platform structures, and are expected to become the first layer of asset responders reflecting on-chain behavior.
Some trading accounts are already laying out the path for the next round of price releases. The fact that we're still struggling with the question of whether or not we're trading sideways is actually behind the market pricing mechanism.
Our current task is to incorporate the behavioral signals on the chain and the structural resonance of the stock assets into the same monitoring system, and wait for confirmation to be implemented at the first time.
We never decide whether or not to take a position because of market attention or trading fervor. Every time we take a position, three conditions are met: the price action has completed structural confirmation, the dominant money has truly stepped in, and the market has not yet completed full pricing of the action. These judgments do not rely on intuition, nor do they come from emotional guesswork, they come from structural identification, behavioral signal validation and continuous deduction of the system's execution process. This is the core essence of an execution system: account growth never comes from expectation, but from proper execution after each signal confirmation, and it will only continue to expand your return curve because you make the right decision at each critical point.
It's not luck, it's discipline. As Stanley Druckenmiller said, “Good investing is a minority act.” Really good investing is always anti-human. When the market is still moving sideways, someone has already done it; before the structure has spread, we have already completed the deployment. It's not because we're good gamblers, it's because we recognize changes in behavior half a step ahead of the market, and then we get the execution right.