September 2, 2025
September 2, 2025
With the Labor Day holiday just behind us, today marks the first trading day of September for U.S. stocks. I want to remind you: September is never just another ordinary month.
In the history of U.S. capital markets, September almost invariably brings heightened volatility. The reason is straightforward: after the holiday break, capital flows back into the market, and institutional investors often reposition their portfolios at this time—some choose to lock in profits, securing gains from the past few months; others seek new sector opportunities amid the turbulence.
Therefore, beyond short-term index fluctuations, it's crucial to grasp this reality: September's rhythm often sets the tone for the final quarter of the year.
Moving forward, I'll guide us to focus on two core questions:
1. Amidst intertwined rate cut expectations and economic data, what structural opportunities might emerge in September's markets?
2. For our existing holdings ($BTBT, $MSTR, $SBET, $BMNR, and other crypto-benefiting stocks), how should we formulate a “core + satellite” offensive-defensive strategy in this heightened volatility environment?
When discussing the beneficiaries of these cryptocurrencies, I encourage everyone to dig deeper—particularly focusing on the CXON token.
It is not a short-term hype but the fuel driving CoreX's quantitative system, underpinning every algorithmic upgrade and R&D breakthrough. In other words, CXON propels each iteration of CoreX.
From a market perspective, CXON's price has broken through its early trading range, indicating institutional capital is pricing it in advance. Looking ahead, as CoreX tests more features and expands its user base, CXON's scarcity and high elasticity will continue to strengthen.
I often draw parallels to Bitcoin's early days: limited supply, practical applications, and growing consensus. For investors, this means CXON is not just a utility token but a scarce asset with enduring value and collectible significance.
Therefore, while positioning in traditional market beneficiaries like $MSTR and $BTBT, do not overlook CXON within the digital asset sphere. Fundamentally, it forms our “dual-engine” strategy alongside the CoreX 40/60 portfolio—capable of navigating September's market volatility while capturing future gains.
Before diving into today's market lesson, I'd like to take a moment to share a heartfelt thought inspired by the recently passed Labor Day.
Labor Day reminds us that progress is always built on perseverance and responsibility. Whether it's blue-collar workers or Wall Street traders, every contribution propels society and markets forward.
For me, investment education follows the same principle. I view it as a long-term commitment, not a short-term task. Helping everyone navigate a steady, clear path is not just my profession—it's my mission.
So today, as both your teacher and your friend, I ask: In our upcoming investment journey, will you join me in continuing this long-term trust and partnership?
Alright, friends, as summer draws to a close, we welcome the fresh harvest season of autumn. May your spirits shine like the new season's sunlight, filled with anticipation and energy.
This week's most anticipated event is undoubtedly the Nonfarm Payrolls report. The significance of this data needs no elaboration—it will almost directly determine whether the Federal Reserve adopts a cautious stance with a 25-basis-point rate cut at its next policy meeting or signals a more aggressive easing stance.
Should the employment figures fall significantly below expectations with rising unemployment, the likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut will strengthen, and markets will interpret this as a clearer signal of policy easing.
Should the data largely meet or slightly exceed expectations, the market would view this as a “normal adjustment.” In other words, room for rate cuts remains, but near-term momentum would be limited.
Thus, the nonfarm payrolls report won't deliver an absolute “rate cut number.” Its true value lies in signaling the direction of future policy—whether it leans toward moderation or greater aggressiveness.
According to CoreX's big data model statistics, September has historically been a pivotal turning point for Federal Reserve policy, often coinciding with major risk events and significant monetary policy adjustments.
Looking back at history:
In September 1998, amid the LTCM crisis, the Fed initiated its first rate cut of 25 basis points;
Following the 9/11 attacks in 2001, an emergency 50-basis-point cut occurred on September 17;
On the eve of the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007, the Fed decisively cut rates by 50 basis points on September 18.
September has consistently been a month marked by risks and major events, making it a pivotal moment for monetary policy adjustments.
Looking ahead to the present, the September 2025 nonfarm payrolls report will become the focal point of market attention. Should employment data fall short of expectations and unemployment rise, the Fed will likely adopt a more aggressive easing stance. Conversely, if the data remains robust, it would signal that the pace of rate cuts may remain moderate.
Understanding history is not for the sake of looking back, but to find answers for today: As we enter September, we must learn to use data and logic to assess the strength and direction of policies, seizing the opportunities that belong to us.
According to CoreX's historical data analysis, the trajectory of the U.S. economy is often more influenced by monetary policy, inflation, and employment than by external noise events. Decades of data consistently show that the core rhythm of the economy stems from the interest rate environment and liquidity levels.
Looking at the current situation, this point is particularly crucial. The U.S. is now in a phase where expectations for interest rate cuts are intensifying. The yield on 10-year Treasury bonds has already retreated from its peak, and market liquidity is gradually being released. At the same time, nonfarm payroll data will be the most critical observation point in September. Should employment growth slow or unemployment rise, the pace of rate cuts could accelerate. This would directly benefit risk assets and cryptocurrency-related sectors.
So, friends, remember: don't get distracted by peripheral noise. Instead, focus on these three core factors: interest rates, liquidity, and corporate earnings. This is the fundamental logic for maintaining clarity and seizing opportunities in September's markets.
Yes, on the first trading day of September, the market did indeed experience a wave of panic selling. Multiple factors contributed to this: on one hand, concerns stemmed from the logic I mentioned earlier; on the other, August's PMI data falling below expectations also fueled recession fears.
However, let's recall past experience: Following panic selling, markets often vent their frustration through a rapid 2–3 day decline, followed by a V-shaped rebound. This pattern of “first falling, then recovering” is actually a classic rhythm in bull markets.
From a longer-term perspective, the S&P 500 (.SPX) monthly chart continues its trend of setting new highs. This suggests that the market pattern in the first half of September can be interpreted as a “false sell-off” rather than a trend reversal.
Therefore, regarding our current holdings, my stance is clear: maintain positions. As long as the underlying logic and trend remain intact, no unexpected risks should materialize.
So when facing a period of heightened volatility like September, here are three key strategic points:
First, hold your ground.
Don't easily shake your core positions, especially key holdings like $MSTR—it acts as a magnifying glass for crypto trends. As long as the trend doesn't break medium-to-long-term support, stay patient.
Second, master the rhythm.
Highly volatile stocks like $BTBT, $SBET, and $BMNR will experience greater short-term swings. Here, learn to use Bollinger Bands and volume to capture price differentials, avoiding elevator rides while adding flexibility to your portfolio.
Third, balance offense and defense.
Divide your portfolio into a “stable core + flexible satellites” structure. The core holds positions long-term to capture trend dividends, while satellites allow agile rebalancing—generating short-term gains and cushioning against major volatility.
This approach ensures you don’t miss the crypto market’s overall rally while maintaining security during turbulence. Friends, true investing isn’t about all-or-nothing bets—it’s about finding your own equilibrium between advance and retreat.
Friends, the first trading day of September has just begun. Does the market volatility feel a bit “unexpected” to everyone?
In reality, this isn't a devastating crash but a perfectly normal technical pullback.
This opening doesn't signal trouble—it actually indicates the market is undergoing healthy digestion and consolidation after August's sharp rally.
We must remember that volatility is not the enemy, but an inevitable companion in the market's journey forward. Just like the adjustments in early August, it did not alter the overall upward trend but instead created better opportunities for capital to re-enter the market.
This is precisely what I emphasize repeatedly in my classes: investing must rely on systematic logic to navigate uncertainty. The value of the CoreX 40/60 portfolio lies in helping us traverse these short-term fluctuations over 3–6 month cycles, maintaining steady overall growth.
After the afternoon close, my co-founder, Professor Bird Grant, will provide deeper analysis and discuss key opportunities and risks for September.
Remember, smart investors don't wait for calm seas—they learn to position themselves amid the turbulence. When others hesitate, your proactive moves often become the key to securing tomorrow's gains.
Alright, friends, that wraps up today's insights. Thank you for joining us—see you tomorrow!
Good afternoon, community friends. I'm Bird Grant from NextLeap Management Consulting, also known as the "Profit Falcon."
Today's market drama extends far beyond mere boardroom battles. Much like the first season of Game of Thrones, Ned Stark's arrest was merely the prelude. The actual power of the storm lies in how House Lannister manipulates the kingdom's order. Within the halls of the Red Keep, whispers abound, and every word from the powerful ministers shapes the power struggles between the kingdom and its lords.
Amid this tense atmosphere, the Lannisters suddenly unleashed a grand fireworks display, the launch of WLFI, strategically timed for September 1st, Labor Day. This day, already marked by street celebrations and fireworks, saw WLFI capitalize on the festive spirit, packaging itself as part of the holiday. With massive traffic and overwhelming momentum, it seemed as if Labor Day's fireworks and market promotions had merged into one.
The deeper contest, however, played out on the diplomatic battlefield. Within the Red Keep, the king's advisors whispered urgently: "Your Majesty, withdrawing our forces would not merely mean losing a battle, it would shatter the very credibility of our entire kingdom.”
The real-world manifestation is the new confrontation between the Trump administration and the courts over whether tariffs are lawful.
Treasury Secretary Bessent warned that if the court rules Trump's tariffs illegal, it would disgrace America's diplomatic standing and could even trigger a dangerous diplomatic crisis. It is not merely an economic dispute, but a trial concerning power and rules. Should the court reject the tariffs, it would challenge the "emergency powers" held by the king. Yet if this authority is weakened, both allies and adversaries will perceive the cracks. At the negotiating tables with the EU, Japan, South Korea, and China, allies and rivals alike will conclude that this empire lacks the strength to maintain order.
Yesterday marked Labor Day in the United States. For ordinary Americans, it was a holiday of flowers, parades, and family barbecues, summer's unofficial farewell. The street celebrations stood in stark contrast to the market's decline: one side reveled in the leisurely atmosphere of a long weekend, while the other witnessed the stock market's violent turbulence.
Today, Wall Street watches nervously amid the rift between power and regulation, and the market's response is a broad-based decline. The S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow all plummeted, with individual stocks suffering even more severe losses, some far exceeding the broader market. This scene resembles the chaos spreading from the Red Castle Hall to the square, where nobles fall silent while the populace begins to stir.
Traders have temporarily stepped back, and capital appears dormant, yet it hasn't vanished. It waits, gathering strength. This plunge isn't the endgame; it's a reminder that after the lull, liquidity will seek new outlets. September stands as a time where trials and opportunities coexist.
Friends, what you're witnessing is precisely this disconnect: macroeconomic data on one hand fuels recession fears, while on the other hand, it reinforces expectations for interest rate cuts. The August manufacturing PMI remained in contraction territory for the sixth consecutive month, with declines in production and input prices signaling ongoing pressure on industrial supply chains. Yet simultaneously, the market interpreted this as easing tariff pressures and weakening inflation, propelling gold prices to near-record highs of nearly $3,600. While indices showed little decline, individual stocks suffered widespread losses; during index crashes, individual stocks plummeted precipitously.
It precisely mirrors the scenario we forecasted in mid-August. During CoreX's portfolio rebalancing on August 12–14, we explicitly capped equity exposure below 40%, reserving 60% for defensive and flexible allocation. Facing such market dynamics, we proactively shielded our positions through active position management rather than passively awaiting outcomes. It's why we maintain resilience even amid today's market turbulence.
Next, the CPI data released in September will serve as a crucial indicator. Should CPI continue to decline, markets will further lock in the probability of a Fed rate cut on September 17; conversely, a stronger-than-expected CPI reading could signal a potential delay in the rate-cut path. In other words, CPI is like an exam paper handed in early, while the real verdict awaits the September 17th FOMC meeting. At that moment, the Fed's actions will not only determine whether stock markets face continued pressure or gain respite, but also dictate the flow of dollar liquidity.
If the Fed does cut rates on September 17, will the released liquidity remain in the high-volatility US stock market? Or will it accelerate its shift toward gold and crypto assets?
Friends, where do you think the capital will flow? To the traditional market's old anchor points, or to the rapidly emerging new ones?
Let's clarify what interest rate cuts mean: at their core, they represent the release of liquidity. Whenever capital seeks new avenues, the biggest beneficiaries are rarely traditional markets.
First, consider gold; although it may experience short-term demand, as a defensive asset, its upside is limited. It struggles to absorb fresh capital inflows sustainably.
Next, consider government bonds; lower rates mean falling yields, diminishing their allocation value. They become more of a passive safe-haven choice than a growth opportunity.
Now consider stocks, while the broader market benefits, gains are often constrained amid high-level volatility and stock divergence. Traditional sectors, in particular, struggle to absorb excess liquidity.
Even real estate, seemingly boosted by falling rates, faces policy and cyclical constraints that severely limit the efficiency of capital inflows.
In other words, these traditional assets either have limited capacity or absorb liquidity too slowly. When U.S. dollar interest rates decline, markets accelerate their search for highly elastic, high-growth assets to absorb liquidity. Only crypto assets can swiftly convert the liquidity released by rate cuts into explosive momentum. They boast ultra-high liquidity, global pricing, and narrative-driven amplification effects, which is why, in every easing cycle, the crypto market often becomes the most direct and thorough absorber.
This time, however, BTC and mainstream digital currencies have assumed the role of "new gold." Application-based ecosystem tokens, such as CXON, represent the asset class most susceptible to amplification during periods of monetary easing. In other words, September's CPI data and the September 17th FOMC meeting will jointly determine whether traditional markets continue to fluctuate or redirect more capital toward the new frontier of crypto assets.
It reminds me of another story from the Gospels: the disciples fished all night without catching a single fish. Jesus told them to "cast the net on the right side of the boat," and immediately the net filled with fish, so heavy they could scarcely haul it in.
The market operates similarly, when old rules fail, efforts driven by emotion often prove futile. But once you find the actual anchor point, once you adjust your direction, the outcome changes entirely. CXON is today's "net cast on the right side," enabling value to be truly captured from the chaos.
So today, I'd like to leave you with two questions:
First, when the September 17th interest rate cut actually takes effect, will capital flow toward old anchors or new ones?
Second, as CXON's collectible value continues to accumulate, will you choose to watch from the sidelines or haul in that net brimming with harvest?
Share your answers with your investment education advisor for a chance to receive CXON token airdrop rewards!
Finally, the storms of history never cease, but opportunities always emerge. May you embark on your own wealth journey armed with today's insights and empowered by CXON.
That concludes today's discussion.